"History is a nightmare from which I am trying to awake."

Wednesday, August 31, 2011

OBAMA A SHOO-IN?

Allan Lichtman, the American University professor, has predicted President Obama will win re-election. Why is this news?
His "election formula has correctly called every president since Ronald Reagan’s 1984 re-election."-
Lichtman developed his 13 Keys in 1981. They test the performance of the party that holds the presidency. If six or more of the 13 keys go against the party in power, then the opposing party wins.“The keys have figured into popular politics a bit,” Lichtman says. “They’ve never missed. They’ve been right seven elections in a row. A number that goes way beyond statistical significance in a record no other system even comes close to.”
According to Lichtman, Obama has nine of the thirteen keys needed. Finally, some good news. (See the link for the keys Obama does and doesn't have.) If, as has been the case since the 80's, this holds true, we can know hope.

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